Fifty years into the project of modeling Earth’s future climate, we still don’t really know what’s coming. Some places are warming with more ferocity than expected. Extreme events are taking ...

THE DIPLOMATIC ructions at COP29, the United Nations climate conference currently under way in the Azerbaijani capital of Baku, are based largely on computer models. Some model what climate change ...

Riccardo Rebonato does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond ...

States and financial bodies using modelling that ignores shocks from extreme weather and climate tipping points Flawed economic models mean the accelerating impact of the climate crisis could lead to ...