Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn to assess risk and potential gains.

Right now, molecules in the air are moving around you in chaotic and unpredictable ways. To make sense of such systems, physicists use a law known as the Boltzmann distribution, which, rather than ...

Fundamentally, a truly valuable financial analysis must spark a posterior belief change relative to the prior — and that’s ...

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

Right now, molecules in the air are moving around you in chaotic and unpredictable ways. To make sense of such systems, physicists use a law known as ...

Here’s an unusual trick with three numbers rather than one. How does the magician figure out which numbers you thought of?

Learn how sportsbooks set odds. We break down odds compilation engines, from raw data ingestion and probability models to ...

Peter Brandt describes Bitcoin’s recent decline as “campaign selling,” signaling structured distribution rather than retail ...

Emerging from stealth, the company is debuting NEXUS, a Large Tabular Model (LTM) designed to treat business data not as a ...

A new technique from Stanford, Nvidia, and Together AI lets models learn during inference rather than relying on static ...