It’s unclear whether science as a discipline—and scientists as people—will ever be able to answer some questions definitively ...

The post How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory appeared first on Reason.com.

Sam Bankman-Fried claimed FTX was never insolvent and he did not file for bankruptcy. He accelerated messaging on X in a bid to gain pardon or diminish the 25-year prison sentence.

For the first time in over 50 years, there are no nuclear arms controls in place between the world’s two largest nuclear powers, the US and Russia.

The 21Shares gave the XRP price a 30% chance of hitting $2.69. But XRP crashed 32% to $1.40 — below even the bear case. Here's what changed.

Although Rivian has started 2026 on a bad note, the smart money seems confident ahead of earnings, making RIVN stock an ...

Learn how sportsbooks set odds. We break down odds compilation engines, from raw data ingestion and probability models to ...

Seattle faces New England in the Big Game. Explore Kalshi prediction markets, championship contract pricing, and secure a $10 ...

Calling a friend "cousin" might not be just a term of affection among some African Americans. Now, a mathematical model shows that there is a good chance there is some type of family connection ...

After attracting $3.7 billion in new capital and minting young billionaires at Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction market startups are all the rage, especially for recent college graduates.

Walking away purely out of bruised pride is almost never productive in an investment bank. But walking into a role where the perimeter is contested and the support is conditional carries its own risks ...

Learn what optimism bias is, why gamblers overestimate their chances of winning, and how this psychological bias affects betting decisions and outcomes.