Under a select set of circumstances (which we're in now), this predictive indicator has never been wrong, dating back to January 1871.

The weekly Labor Market Stress Indicator (LMSI) tracks state-level labor market developments in real time to better understand labor market conditions as they evolve. The measure is built from weekly ...

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Above: A Von Karman vortex street downwind of the Canary Island chain in the eastern Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Africa on Feb. 27, 2015. Image credit: NASA Worldview. Editor's note: Meteorologist ...

Wailin Wong is a long-time business and economics journalist who's reported from a Chilean mountaintop, an embalming fluid factory and lots of places in between. She is a host of The Indicator from ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. This site presents a weekly and monthly series of the proxy funds rate, following Doh and Choi (2016), Choi, Doh, Foerster, and Martinez ...

Learn how excluding volatile items in financial and economic data improves long-term trend analysis. Discover examples in corporate earnings and economic indices.

Discover the January Barometer, a tool using January's S&P 500 performance to predict annual market trends. Explore its accuracy and impact on trading strategies.