To some, METR’s “time horizon plot” indicates that AI utopia—or apocalypse—is close at hand. The truth is more complicated.

Unlock the full InfoQ experience by logging in! Stay updated with your favorite authors and topics, engage with content, and download exclusive resources. Cory Benfield discusses the evolution of ...

The currents of the oceans, the roiling surface of the sun, and the clouds of smoke billowing off a forest fire—all are ...

Zillow Group Inc. is calling it quits on the home-flipping business, while disclosing expected losses of more than $550 million on homes purchased in the second half of this year for which the company ...

Recent research suggests that generic large language models (LLMs) can match the accuracy of traditional methods when forecasting macroeconomic variables in pseudo out-of-sample settings generated via ...

Supply- and Demand-Driven PCE Inflation updates data on the contributions to personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation from supply-driven versus demand-driven components. This tool is intended ...

Models, by definition, are approximations: useful, informative, and inevitably incomplete, because they are the only way to simplify a world too complex to grasp all at once. A new study on nitrous ...