WEATHER BLOG: Storm Prediction Center to Implement Outlook Changes

The Storm Prediction Center is implementing changes to the Day 1, 2, and 3 Convective Outlooks that will go into effect in ...

Bayes' Theorem: What It Is, Formula, and Examples

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...
AHA/ASA Journals

Criteria to Assess the Predictive and Clinical Utility of Novel Models, Biomarkers, and Tools for Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart ...

Risk prediction has been used in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease for >3 decades. Contemporary cardiovascular risk assessment relies on multivariable models, which integrate ...

The Saturday Spread: Reducing Uncertainty in an Uncertain World (AMZN, CHWY, EXPE)

Fundamentally, a truly valuable financial analysis must spark a posterior belief change relative to the prior — and that’s ...
IEEE

Obtaining a Probability Distribution From a Unimodal Possibility Distribution

Abstract: The probability and possibility theories are two particular cases of the more general theory of evidence, and probability distribution and possibility distribution (PD) are two different, ...
IEEE

Differentiated Reliability-Based Regional Distribution Network Planning With Probability Characteristics of PV and Load

Abstract: Increasing reliability demand and massive uncertain distributed PV bring new challenges to distribution network development. In this paper, a regional distribution network planning framework ...
Frontiers

Assessing habitat suitability of protected migratory birds in coastal wetlands with multi-source data and a probability-averaging ensemble

Introduction: Habitat-suitability modelling supports conservation planning for protected migratory birds in dynamic coastal wetlands, yet single species distribution models (SDMs) can be unstable when ...