In many everyday situations, decision-making comes with feedback on the consequences of one's choices, linked to their ...

They look to also be better than prediction markets. Analysis by Good Judgment, the organisation that pioneered superforecasting, has run the numbers and found that they have outperformed on average ...

In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...

European Roulette explained with odds, payouts, tables, and strategy, covering house edge, rules, and practical insights for disciplined, informed play today.

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

After major disasters, public debate often treats them as unexpected or unprecedented. This reaction is not necessarily about the absence of warnings. It reflects how societies process shock—and how ...

Right now, molecules in the air are moving around you in chaotic and unpredictable ways. To make sense of such systems, physicists use a law known as the Boltzmann distribution, which, rather than ...

If the FDA follows through with the proposed guidelines, and they are not fatally twisted by pressure from the medical ...

Think back to ancient leaders who looked to the stars or the flight patterns of birds just to predict the future. Today, we have replaced the oracle with the algorithm. We no longer ask what will ...

AI models predict XRP between under $2 to over $14 by the end of 2026. XRP base price predictions for 2026 cluster in the $2-4 range. Monte Carlo simulations show 60% of outcomes land between $1.04-$3 ...

Grok AI predicts XRP to hit $10 by end of 2026. XRP hitting $10 requires a $607B market cap. This would surpass Ethereum to become the second-largest crypto behind Bitcoin. XRP ETFs absorbed $1.3B in ...

Funny and questionable decisions people have actually made. Donald Trump changes his mind on tariffs again Rob Gronkowski reveals he’s never spent any of his NFL salary Suspected mountain lion attack ...