A new study reveals that firms and short sellers are the most informed market participants, while retail and institutional investors often underperform. Learn why humility and passive investing may be ...

For centuries, humans have looked to animals for clues about the weather, relying on their instincts and behaviors to predict storms, seasonal changes, and even natural disasters. From the famous ...

What if cattle were selected not only for their productivity, but also for their resistance to disease? A study conducted by ...

Economists have noticed that betting markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are pretty good at predicting not just political ...

New research published in Aggression and Violent Behavior indicates that a history of childhood trauma may not effectively predict which incarcerated youth will engage in the most frequent and violent ...

At the end of 2024, no AI had even managed to place 100th in one of the major competitions. But they have since vaulted up ...

From pro cyclists crunching race stats to PayID pokies players tracking wins, data analytics is redefining both sports and ...

Betting on issues of national security, like war, introduces perverse motives like insider trading. It also risks normalizing ...

After attracting $3.7 billion in new capital and minting young billionaires at Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction market startups are all the rage, especially for recent college graduates.

The Super Bowl and other recent events show prediction markets are in a fragile "boom" thanks to a legal workaround. But it could burst at any moment.

As prediction markets boom, target events like the Super Bowl and the Olympics show why this form of online betting is both popular and polarizing.

Prediction markets let you trade on the probability of real-world events, using prices as forecasts rather than opinions or fixed odds. Prediction markets are financial markets where people trade ...