Elevated readings on the index tend to coincide with heightened policy ambiguity, sharper swings in equity markets and slower economic expansion.

ABSTRACT: For an independent and identically distributed skew-t-normal random sequence, this paper establishes the limit distribution of normalized sample range M n − m n . Based on the optimal ...

├── src/ # Source code │ ├── data_utils.py # Data generation and loading utilities │ ├── models.py # Time series forecasting models │ ├── visualization.py # Visualization utilities │ ├── main.py # ...

To model potential structural shifts in the data that depend on their historical values, different smooth transition autoregressive models are constructed and compared for the changes in the ...

Bootstrap procedures for local projections typically rely on assuming that the data generating process (DGP) is a finite order vector autoregression (VAR), often taken to be that implied by the local ...

As economies progress from traditional (agriculture) systems to modern (industrialized) systems, they often experience a complex relationship between economic growth and environmental quality. This ...

Every time a language model like GPT-4, Claude or Mistral generates a sentence, it does something deceptively simple: It picks one word at a time. This word-by-word approach is what gives ...

Esse artigo analisa o canal juros do mecanismo de transmissão monetária sobre o produto, preços e taxa de câmbio na economia brasileira dos anos 90 através dos efeitos de uma redução inesperada na ...

Tesla has opened the order books for the extended-wheelbase Model Y in China. The model features individual seating for six, extra cargo space and additional comfort features. The Model YL costs ...

Apple quietly dropped a new AI model on Hugging Face with an interesting twist. Instead of writing code like traditional LLMs generate text (left to right, top to bottom), it can also write out of ...

The 2026 Tesla Model S and Model X are here. The two flagship EVs get minor updates inside and out. Some versions have a longer driving range. Moreover, the updated EVs don’t get any of the new ...